Confirmed previous forecast
-1.184555
Relative Brier Score
925
Forecasts
88
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 13 | 145 | 13 | 925 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 59 | 0 | 122 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 13 | 30 | 13 | 118 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 88 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program,
Mission: Diplomacy,
EA College Tournament,
Open RAN,
Decoding Disinformation
New Prediction
Will at least two European NATO members sign new, publicly announced major defense procurement contracts (over €1 billion each) with non-European suppliers by 31 July 2026?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
60%
(0%)
Yes
40%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
(0%)
Yes
75%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
49%
(0%)
Yes
51%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Estonia
2%
(0%)
Latvia
2%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
18%
(0%)
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications
75%
(0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP
7%
(0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
45%
(0%)
Yes
55%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files