Yifan

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Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 393 0 1231
Comments 0 0 49 0 159
Questions Forecasted 0 0 84 0 214
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 2 0 26
 Definitions


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Yifan
earned a new badge:

Power Forecaster - Dec 2025

Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
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Yifan
earned a new badge:

Star Commenter - Dec 2025

Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Not sure, but likely given the historical pattern of electoral dominance in Shia districts, ongoing campaign efforts by the Hezbollah-Amal. 

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Why might you be wrong?

 

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

They appear less likely to secure a clear majority compared to past cycles

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Why might you be wrong?

 

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

It is unlikely that JNIM will take full control of Bamako by 1 June 2026. While JNIM’s influence, blockade efforts, and tactical impacts are intensifying, there is no credible evidence as of late 2025 indicating that the group has captured or will likely capture and administer the Malian capital. 

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

It is very plausible that the UNSC will adopt at least one resolution related to the conflict in Sudan by 1 May 2026. There are ongoing procedural measures (extensions of mandates, sanctions panels, ceasefire pressure) within the UNSC...

https://press.un.org/en/sudan

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Why might you be wrong?

 

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Following the crowd prediction for this question

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New Prediction
Yifan
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
40%
Iván Cepeda
30%
Sergio Fajardo
20%
Abelardo de la Espriella
10%
Other
Why do you think you're right?

The candidates who received the highest voting intention in their section were: Iván Cepeda, with 24%, Sergio Fajardo, also with 24%, and Abelardo de la Espriella, with 17%.  https://latinamericareports.com/first-poll-in-months-sheds-light-on-contentious-2026-colombian-elections/12839/

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Why might you be wrong?

 

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Will update later when more information is available. 

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Why might you be wrong?

Will update later when more information is available. 

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Possible but i think G20 countries should have been deploying the system to avoid any possible significant disruption to critical national infrastructure 

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Why might you be wrong?

 

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