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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will a Chinese organization produce DUV (ArFi) photolithography machines that are capable of high-volume manufacturing (at least 140 wafers per hour) before 1 January 2026?
Closed
Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
64
·
101
37%
Chance
Will a Chinese organization produce EUV photolithography machines that are capable of high-volume manufacturing (at least 90 wafers per hour) before 1 January 2030?
Closed
Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
54
·
88
45%
Chance
Will Iraq return its ambassador to Iran in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 1, 2024 and Aug 1, 2024)
Closed
Aug 01, 2024 07:00PM UTC
·
47
·
105
0%
Chance
Will Iraq return its ambassador to Iran in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 1, 2024 and Jul 1, 2024)
Closed
Jul 01, 2024 07:00PM UTC
·
43
·
97
0%
Chance
Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between May 6, 2024 and Jun 6, 2024)
Closed
Jun 06, 2024 04:00PM UTC
·
58
·
143
0%
Chance
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between May 6, 2024 and Jun 6, 2024)
Closed
Jun 06, 2024 04:00PM UTC
·
61
·
136
0%
Chance
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between May 2, 2024 and Jun 2, 2024)
Closed
Jun 02, 2024 04:00PM UTC
·
49
·
133
0%
Chance
Will Iraq return its ambassador to Iran in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between May 1, 2024 and Jun 1, 2024)
Closed
Jun 01, 2024 07:00PM UTC
·
46
·
108
0%
Chance
Will Houthi rebels execute an attack against an Israeli civil or military vessel in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 15, 2024 and May 15, 2024)
Closed
May 15, 2024 10:00PM UTC
·
47
·
113
0%
Chance
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 15, 2024 and May 15, 2024)
Closed
May 15, 2024 10:00PM UTC
·
43
·
104
0%
Chance
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