SPECIAL NOTICE:
INFER is now the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI).
Learn more about RFI
.
Toggle navigation
FAQ
See Forecasts
Blog
Join Now
Sign In
Topics
Questions
The Question Lab
Filters
Status
Suspended
Coming Soon
Completed
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Season
All
All
2024 Season
2023 Season
2022 Season
2021 Season
2020 Season
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Forecasts
Number of Forecasters
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Topics
Select All
Artificial Intelligence (4)
only
China Politics, Relati... (1)
only
International Diplomac... (38)
only
Iran: Threats & Influence (16)
only
Microelectronic Techno... (1)
only
Russia-Ukraine War (8)
only
Science & Technology (12)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
only
Iran Nuclear Program (1)
only
Iran-VNSAs (1)
only
Question
Crowd Forecast
Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?
Closed
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
86
·
387
70%
Chance
Will war break out between Hezbollah and Israel in the next month?
Closed
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
73
·
135
7%
Chance
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear facility in the next 6 months?
Closed
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
60
·
77
13%
Chance
How many members will be part of the Gold Hydrogen Program on 29 February 2024?
Closed
Feb 29, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
24
·
40
Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) on or before 31 March 2023?
Closed
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
·
9
·
10
96%
Chance
Will more U.S. patent applications mentioning both “quantum computing” and “artificial intelligence” be filed in 2023 than in 2022?
Closed
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
44
·
61
77%
Chance
By 31 March 2023, will the U.S. Department of Agriculture ban cultured meat companies from labeling their products as “meat” in the U.S.?
Closed
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
·
20
·
21
8%
Chance
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome drop below $100 before 1 September 2023?
Closed
Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
·
101
·
465
4%
Chance
By 31 December 2022, how much money will the U.S. appropriate to the Department of Educations’ STEAM and Computer Science Grants for FY23?
Closed
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
·
26
·
45
By 31 December 2022, how much money will the U.S. appropriate to the Biological Systems Science Division for FY23?
Closed
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
·
32
·
60
1
2
3
Next ›
Last »
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel