Confirmed previous forecast
1.094483
Relative Brier Score
548
Forecasts
242
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 8 | 11 | 285 | 11 | 548 |
| Comments | 4 | 8 | 638 | 8 | 826 |
| Questions Forecasted | 7 | 9 | 29 | 9 | 42 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 3 | 174 | 3 | 242 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Geopolitical Security,
Quickfire Forecasts,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Emerging Technology
Most Active Topics:
Africa,
Iran-VNSAs,
Iran Nuclear Program,
East Asia Security,
Biotech
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
85%
(0%)
Yes
15%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
95%
(0%)
Yes
5%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-1%)
Yes
100%
(+1%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
(0%)
Yes
10%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
86%
(+18%)
U.S. Entity
70%
(+30%)
Non-U.S. Entity
Why do you think you're right?
Going a bit higher.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Affirm
Why might you be wrong?
.