RAND Forecasting Initiative

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Emerging Technology (20) only
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Will the EU import at least 19 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia in the second half of 2025?

Closed Jan 09, 2026 05:00PM UTC · 53 · 114

Will the Cambodia-Thailand conflict result in at least 20 deaths between 4 November 2025 and 15 January 2026, inclusive?

Closed Dec 11, 2025 09:34AM UTC · 39 · 122

Will the United States launch a kinetic strike against Iran before 1 August 2025?

Closed Jun 21, 2025 11:50PM UTC · 90 · 154

According to U.S. Customs and Border Protection, will the U.S. seize at least 50,000 pounds of drugs in July 2025?

Closed Oct 01, 2025 02:45PM UTC · 142 · 264

According to U.S. Customs and Border Protection, will there be at least 37 million inbound travelers to the U.S. in July 2025?

Closed Oct 01, 2025 02:45PM UTC · 137 · 269

How many global victims of data-leaking ransomware will there be in August 2025, according to Data Breaches Digest?

Closed Sep 06, 2025 12:56AM UTC · 122 · 412

Will the United States and Iran announce a new nuclear deal before 1 August 2025?

Closed Aug 01, 2025 04:01AM UTC · 159 · 329

By 30 September 2025, will the United States announce its intent to withdraw at least 4,500 troops from South Korea?

Closed Oct 01, 2025 02:45PM UTC · 152 · 462

Will hostilities between Pakistan and India result in at least 100 total uniformed casualties (with at least one death) between 2 June 2025 and 30 September 2025?

Closed Oct 01, 2025 02:45PM UTC · 140 · 448

Will all NATO members agree to a defense spending target of 5% of GDP by 31 July 2025?

Closed Aug 01, 2025 04:01AM UTC · 163 · 483