Confirmed previous forecast
-1.264117
Relative Brier Score
2509
Forecasts
131
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 15 | 42 | 760 | 55 | 2509 |
| Comments | 4 | 17 | 314 | 17 | 470 |
| Questions Forecasted | 15 | 21 | 69 | 21 | 180 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 131 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Geopolitical Security,
Emerging Technology,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Quickfire Forecasts
Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran-VNSAs,
Decoding Disinformation,
Africa
New Prediction
Will the United Nations deploy peacekeeping forces to a conflict zone in a new country or territory by 31 July 2026?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Show more
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
19%
(0%)
Yes
81%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
7%
(0%)
Yes
93%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Yes
96%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
3%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania